Comments on: The SEC’s Best Bets For Undefeated Septembers

By: YUNoProofread

YUNoProofread — Fri, 07 Sep 2012 11:34:01 +0000

Ole Miss has already lost? And here I was thinking they won last weekend.

By: John at MrSEC

John at MrSEC — Thu, 06 Sep 2012 23:43:26 +0000

The percentages don’t have to equal 100%.

Just as the odds in a horse race don’t have to equal some magic number.

We’re simply saying, “This team’s chance of going undefeated in September are, we think, ’bout 80%.” Or 30%. Or 50%.

If you don’t get that… you’re either dimwitted or just a smart aleck. Either way, feel free to find another website.

John

By: SouthernAggie

SouthernAggie — Thu, 06 Sep 2012 22:32:19 +0000

As an American, I hope you’re not a math teacher. The percentages he assigned are mathematically impossible, and Alabama and Arkansas provide the clear example. Since they play each other, their percentages are not independent of each other. Their percentages should add up to less than 100%, to account for the possibility they could lose to another opponent. So, if you think Arkansas has a 30% chance of beating Alabama, then Arkansas would have a <30% chance of being remaining undefeated and Alabama would have a <70% chance.

By: Should_Be_Working

Should_Be_Working — Thu, 06 Sep 2012 20:12:24 +0000

John,
As an educator, I must apologize for you having to explain what you meant when giving EACH TEAM’S percent chance of remaining undefeated through September. I am afraid our education system is failing even worse than I feared. Those of you confused about percentages, do us all a favor and go back and finish 5th grade. John, keep up the good work (although it does hurt me to that you only gave Arkansas only a 50% chance of remaining undefeated, even though it’s probably less than that after our performance last Saturday).
Best Regards!

By: GeoffDawg

GeoffDawg — Thu, 06 Sep 2012 19:31:24 +0000

I think the comments are being a little hard on John. 60% of the time, he’s right every time.

By: Math Guy

Math Guy — Thu, 06 Sep 2012 18:45:16 +0000

I think he thinks most games will end up in a tie with those percentages he gives…

By: SEC Fan

SEC Fan — Thu, 06 Sep 2012 18:10:57 +0000

You might want to check the 0% & overall tally…..you’re only listing 12 teams & some of that info is wrong.

By: SEC Fan

SEC Fan — Thu, 06 Sep 2012 18:08:52 +0000

Vanderbilt (0-1, loss to Vanderbilt)

They did WHAT?

By: DawgInMemphis

DawgInMemphis — Thu, 06 Sep 2012 18:06:47 +0000

Been reading your stuff for a good while… Mr. SEC has some of the best writing out there. Thanks for including humor and wit in your craft.

Hopefully this is the weekend Mullen and co. break through that SEC West barrier. Hail State!

By: Thomas

Thomas — Thu, 06 Sep 2012 17:42:31 +0000

@John at MrSEC I accept the shame that comes with realizing you are correct. Shouldn’t comment when I have a migraine… sass leads to idiocy.

By: John at MrSEC

John at MrSEC — Thu, 06 Sep 2012 16:45:52 +0000

Thomas…

I think it’s pretty darn clear if you read the piece that we’re talking about who’ll be undefeated come October. Matter of fact, here’s the actual line:

“Here’s our take on which SEC squads have the best chance of remaining unscathed by the time October rolls ’round:”

Reading IS tricky, I know.

John

By: Thomas

Thomas — Thu, 06 Sep 2012 16:35:50 +0000

Sorry… Vandy-USC was in August. Calendars ARE tricky, I know.

By: mikee4bama

mikee4bama — Thu, 06 Sep 2012 16:14:34 +0000

Yea ark is 50% for sept & bama 95% when they play each other 09/15? Our mrsec guy has some great stuff but I think he might struggle with fractions!

By: Crayton

Crayton — Thu, 06 Sep 2012 15:52:38 +0000

I am not sure math is being used here.

Georgia and Tennessee have a combined chance of going 120%??? Ha

By: MoKelly1

MoKelly1 — Thu, 06 Sep 2012 15:42:45 +0000

40% for Missouri is generous playing both Georgia and South Carolina in the month of September. If Mizzou goes undefeated in September, the entire state of Missouri will be on Cloud 9 and in the Top 5.

By: I4Bama

I4Bama — Thu, 06 Sep 2012 15:20:03 +0000

“Not to disrespect Western Kentucky or FAU, but Bama should win those two games easily.”

Still laughing. It’s the gift that just keeps on giving.