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	<title>Comments on: Vegas And The SEC: Just How Accurate Are Those Opening Lines?</title>
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	<link>http://mrsec.com/2012/10/vegas-and-the-sec-just-how-accurate-are-those-opening-lines/</link>
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		<title>By: memphispete</title>
		<link>http://mrsec.com/2012/10/vegas-and-the-sec-just-how-accurate-are-those-opening-lines/comment-page-1/#comment-100825</link>
		<dc:creator>memphispete</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 25 Oct 2012 19:15:30 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description><![CDATA[If the line is set at a point spread that will generate a balanced book (rule 1 above), isn&#039;t that, by definition, a consensus of where the money thinks the result will be?  Granted the alumni base may put so much money on the homer school that it will skew the lines by the 1-4 points to get betting equilibrium, but for the remaining schools wouldn&#039;t it be close?
 
On the lines that move a lot between the open and the final line, is that a meaningful signal for whether a line gets covered?]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>If the line is set at a point spread that will generate a balanced book (rule 1 above), isn&#8217;t that, by definition, a consensus of where the money thinks the result will be?  Granted the alumni base may put so much money on the homer school that it will skew the lines by the 1-4 points to get betting equilibrium, but for the remaining schools wouldn&#8217;t it be close?<br />
 <br />
On the lines that move a lot between the open and the final line, is that a meaningful signal for whether a line gets covered?</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>By: maroonandwhitenation.com &#187; I Love Links &#8211; I Hate Bama</title>
		<link>http://mrsec.com/2012/10/vegas-and-the-sec-just-how-accurate-are-those-opening-lines/comment-page-1/#comment-100811</link>
		<dc:creator>maroonandwhitenation.com &#187; I Love Links &#8211; I Hate Bama</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 25 Oct 2012 17:58:11 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.mrsec.com/?p=259122#comment-100811</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[[...] article about how Vegas sets the lines, giving insight into why MSU is such a heavy underdog this [...]]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] article about how Vegas sets the lines, giving insight into why MSU is such a heavy underdog this [...]</p>
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