December 5th, 2013 02:08 PM ║ Posted By: John Pennington ║ Permalink ║ Schools: Alabama, Arkansas, Auburn, Florida, Georgia, Kentucky, LSU, Mississippi State, Missouri, Ole Miss, South Carolina, Tennessee, Texas A&M, Vanderbilt
It’s been a month since our last look at the MrSEC.com commitment big board. National Signing Day is just nine weeks from yesterday and there’s been movement all over the SEC scene. Rivals.com — whose grades we’ve found to be most accurate over time — has also updated some of its own star ratings. Add it up and every single team has seen movement since early-November.
As usual, we break down the SEC’s commitment classes for you in three different ways and then we tally those results to arrive at our own official MrSEC.com recruiting rankings.
Starting with Rivals’ star rankings, we assign one point for each star awarded to a player. We also give 0-star prospects — those who’ve yet to have their game tape graded — a point just because we’re nice guys. We then look a the commitment crops according to quantity (total points for each program), quality (the average points per committed player), and high-caliber recruits (the total number of 4- and 5-star commits only).
We then rank the SEC’s schools in each category from 1 (best) to 14 (worst) and tally the scores to create our own ranking.
Let’s start with quantity, the total number of points committed to each SEC program as of today. The last column shows you the number of points gained or lost since November 7th…
|School||Commits||5-stars||4-stars||3-stars||2-stars||1- & 0-stars||Total Points||Pts +/-|
How Butch Jones intends to ink 33 players is still anyone’s guess as he only has room for 30 including backcounting. One would assume three of the Vols’ current commits will grayshirt, but we’ll see. Jones and company are still out recruiting, too. Remember, that 25-man “cap” on signees is a soft cap, nothing more. Coaches can still work around it.
Aside from Tennessee, the biggest gains over the past month have been made in the state of Alabama where both Bama and Auburn have added nine points in our quantity chart.
Now let’s examine the quality of athlete at each school…
No surprises here. Alabama, Georgia, Texas A&M, Auburn, LSU and Florida are inking the best athletes. Tennessee — even with 33 commits — is still over the 3.50 mark which is remarkable in itself. South Carolina just comes in a 3.50 and they have space for plenty more commitments.
Arkansas, Mississippi State and Missouri fans surely don’t like how the numbers break for their teams. It will be interesting to see what kind of bounce Mizzou gets for reaching the SEC Championship Game. (Sidenote — Gary Pinkel has shown this year and throughout his career that he doesn’t require top 10 classes to win games… much as Bobby Petrino never needed all-star players to deliver positive results.)
Next we look at the high-end caliber players. Not all 4- and 5-star players will love up to their hype, but the more blue-chippers a school lands, the better the odds of finding some true difference-makers…
|School||Commits||4- & 5-stars|
From looking at those numbers, the odds of uncovering some real gems are in the favor of Tennessee and Alabama, followed by Georgia, Texas A&M, Auburn and LSU.
Next we tally up all those scores in order to create our official SEC recruiting rankings. First place in one of the three categories above would equal one point. Second place would equal two point and so on. The lower the number the better the class…
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