March 8th, 2013 01:30 PM║ Posted By: John Pennington ║ Permalink
║ Schools: Alabama, Arkansas, Auburn, Florida, Georgia, Kentucky, LSU, Mississippi State, Missouri, Ole Miss, South Carolina, Tennessee, Texas A&M, Vanderbilt
Tags: NCAA, RPI, SEC, UK
By rhis time next week the SEC Tournament will be under way in Nashville. Hopefully, by then, we’ll have a clear idea of who’s destined to reach the NCAA tourney and who’s not. As of today, the numbers point us in a certain direction, but the SEC and the overall bubble for this year’s tourney are so weak that it’s still not an open-and-shut case. Normally by this stage of the season it is.
Below is a look at how all the SEC’s teams’ resumes look as of this morning. Amazingly, even with Kentucky’s painful loss to Georgia last night, the Wildcats still have hope. The same is true for three other SEC squads if — big if — they take care of their business, finish the season strong, and get plenty of help from other bubble teams who fall apart late.
At the bottom of this post we’ll give your overall picks for at-large bids as of today.
|Vs Div I||24-5||22-8||20-10||18-11||22-8||18-11||18-10||18-12||17-13||15-15||13-16||14-16||8-21||9-21|
|Vs RPI 1-50||4-3||3-3||1-4||2-3||1-3||0-4||1-4||3-5||2-3||0-6||0-5||0-3||0-5||0-3|
|Losses Vs RPI 100+||0||0||1||2||0||3||1||1||4||5||0||5||2||8|
|Losses Vs RPI 200+||0||0||0||0||2||1||2||1||0||1||1||2||4||1|
|Vs Non-Conf (Away)||4-2||3-2||1-2||2-3||3-2||3-2||1-2||0-3||2-2||0-4||2-4||3-1||1-6||1-4|
|Last 10 Games||7-3||7-3||6-4||7-3||5-5||6-4||7-3||6-4||4-6||6-4||5-5||2-8||1-9||1-9|
* There are about 50 different sources that try to replicate the NCAA’s official RPI formula. The vast majority are similar.
* The information handed out to the NCAA selection committee does not emphasize or list the way a team finishes the season. Each team’s schedule is listed according to wins and losses, so there’s no way to look at schedule from start to finish and determine who’s hot and who’s not. This has been done to make sure teams schedule better non-conference games in November and December. However, the people on that panel must have some knowledge of who is playing well and who isn’t. So we list each school’s record over its final 10 games. It might not be a big factor, but it has to be some factor.
* While the NCAA selection committee says it uses RPI more for seeding than for filling the field, a quick study of the past 10 brackets suggests that just the opposite is true.
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